Real GDP rose at just a 0.7% annual rate, falling well short of the 1.4% forecast and marking a steep drop-off from the 4.4% final estimate seen in Q3. Current growth is below both the long-term ...

Real GDP rose at a 1.6% annual rate in Q1, falling short of the 2.0% forecast but marking an acceleration from the 0.5% final estimate seen in Q4 of last year. The current GDP is 12.8% below the ...

Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, vice president at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, shared views on the current economy and the outlook from the Economic Research Department as of January 15, 2026.

The US economy expanded sharply in the second quarter as businesses dialed back on imports after stocking up earlier in the year to get ahead of President Donald Trump’s tariffs. But a look under the ...

Mark M. Spiegel, senior policy adviser at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, shared views on the current economy and the outlook from the Economic Research Department as of February 26, 2026.

The U.S. economy grew at a rate of 1.4% in the last quarter of 2025, new government data showed Friday, significantly slower than the two previous quarters, with President Trump pointing to October’s ...