More than three months into the Middle East crisis, the American economy still looks resilient. Inflation is an ongoing threat, thanks to the supply-side energy shock that’s lifted prices. But growth ...

The latest ratio of 0.13% means that out of 10,000 workers, 13 made an initial application for unemployment insurance payments in the latest data. The latest ratio of 0.130% (to three decimal points) ...

Overview: Learn how leading economic indicators provide valuable recession warnings before official economic contractions begin worldwide.Understand why combini ...

The Vicious Cycle Index (VCI) has been 100% accurate in indicating recessions since 1945 with no false alarms. This index is currently flashing a warning that the U.S. is in the early stages of a ...

Quick ReadU.S. housing starts crashed 15.4% in May to 1.18 million units, their lowest since pandemic-era 2020, triggering ...

An inverted yield curve is a good, if imperfect, recession indicator. The economy has been resilient to the latest inversion.

Economists often use imperfect historical information to form opinions about the economy’s direction. We often don’t know we’re in a recession until it’s well underway—typically, the National Bureau ...

Restaurant income declined in April 2026, dropping 3% in one month. Stats like this make you wonder: could this be a ...

When the economy starts to wobble, economists pore over the big dashboards: GDP growth, unemployment rates, inflation. But sometimes, the first red flags come from somewhere stranger. In his Monday ...

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