An inverted yield curve is a good, if imperfect, recession indicator. The economy has been resilient to the latest inversion.

A new report shows declining activity and rising recession risks tied to inflation and energy costs. #NewsismyBusiness - Stay ...

The Vicious Cycle Index (VCI) has been 100% accurate in indicating recessions since 1945 with no false alarms. This index is currently flashing a warning that the U.S. is in the early stages of a ...

Quick ReadU.S. housing starts crashed 15.4% in May to 1.18 million units, their lowest since pandemic-era 2020, triggering the Fed's closely watched recession warning indicator.Multifamily starts ...

As the possibility of a U.S. recession looms, social media users have been busy predicting the downturn by pointing to so-called “recession indicators.” On TikTok, some cite the rise of “Skinnytok,” a ...

Economists often use imperfect historical information to form opinions about the economy’s direction. We often don’t know we’re in a recession until it’s well underway—typically, the National Bureau ...

Restaurant income declined in April 2026, dropping 3% in one month. Stats like this make you wonder: could this be a ...

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Even though the most recent GDP reports show a technical recession, the Bank of Canada and several economists aren't ready to declare one formally just yet. Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers at ...